Download PDF by Hugo A. Keuzenkamp: Probability, Econometrics and Truth: The Methodology of

By Hugo A. Keuzenkamp

while John Maynard Keynes likened Jan Tinbergen's early paintings in econometrics to black magic and alchemy, he used to be expressing a generally held view of a brand new self-discipline. even if, even after part a century of functional paintings and theorizing via the most finished social scientists, Keynes' reviews are nonetheless repeated this present day. This booklet assesses the rules and improvement of econometrics and units out a foundation for the reconstruction of the principles of econometric inference through analyzing a few of the interpretations of likelihood conception which underlie econometrics. Keuzenkamp claims that the probabilistic foundations of econometrics are susceptible, and even if econometric inferences may perhaps yield fascinating wisdom, claims with the intention to falsify or be sure financial theories are unwarranted. Methodological falsificationism in econometrics is an phantasm. in its place, it really is argued, econometrics should still find itself within the culture of positivism.

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Probability, Econometrics and Truth: The Methodology of Econometrics by Hugo A. Keuzenkamp


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